मुंबई मार्केट - Marathi votes at discounted prices*

After a week in KL, I switch on the National TV & following are the successive ticker reads:

1. BSE to launch their website in Marathi as well.
   
2. Congress CM Ashok Chavan wants more railway recruitment for locals
3. NCP demands a train to be named after Marathi icon Sachin Tendulkar

The Marathi man residing in decrepit buildings in Vikhroli, Dahisar, Virar and Badlapur hasn't felt this important ever!!
And between them they span the entire spectrum of aspirations from working as a laborer in the Indian Railways to having pockets, deep enough for the money to spill-over to the markets.

*: Offer valid till another party stakes claim

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Life is a whirlwind....

Vote-it-eez?

It seems come elections and I get a sudden urge to blog :)

Some preliminary observations on Maharashtra Vidhan Sabha elections.

1. Hansel D'Souza contested elections as citizens' candidate.
While things would have been better had he won - he nonetheless got 10000 votes. The results have to be seen in the right perspective.
Convincing 10000 of your merit without a personality or party backing is tough. Most other candidates who win elections as independents - are local goons or like.
This should give a fillip to all who wish to contest from urban middle class pockets in BMC, TMC, PMC elections in a few years' time.

A1. Dr. Mona Shah / Meera Sanyal finished 5th & 4th respectively in Mumbai South constituency in LS '09
A2. Dr Vidyadhar Laxman Joshi - a 'true' PhD - polled 12000 odd votes. Finished 5th.

In conclusion, a sizable candidates who don't get media coverage but are good are sought out and voted for. :)

2. A not-to-be-missed trend this election - is MNS stepping out of also-ran shoes esp. in Mumbai city. MNS gets more seats than SHS, BJP, NCP to finish as the second largest representation from the city.

It has 23% of Mumbai vote share - second only to 28% of the INC. It has replaced SHS as the main alternative to Congress in the city.

My first estimate is that - it returns better figures in Nashik, Pune, Thane.

Probability

This is a solution to a problem posed in Probability by Salim Dewani (H#3 02-06), mainly because blogspot comments don't allow insertion of images.

[I shall hope to post something interesting soon. In the meantime, I wrote something.]

If you have had your try, I present a solution.

Consider a rectangle with the horizontal axis representing the time the dad leaves work and the vertical axis the time you leave home. Each point in the rectangle has an equi-probability of occurring. The points in the rightmost region represent starting times of the duo in which they can't meet Similarly in the left most triangle, the father has crossed D before the son, hence the path chosen after D doesn't matter.

Net probability = 0.5(Fraction of area covered by leftmost triangle - ADEFC route)
                                   + 0.5(Fraction of area covered by the leftmost triangle and the middle area - ADGFC route)
                                   = 0.5(32/300) + 0.5(210/300)
                                   = 342/600 = 0.57

[It feels so nice to be doing maths :) ]

Girls Talk ...

... a lot!

Theres Priyanka Chopra joining in the conversation somewhere below. Note that I am following 151 other people :-|

1. An eyelash landed right in front of me and for the first time in my stay at IIT, I didn't know what to wish for.

2. Absence of short-term goals makes one acutely aware that you never had any long-term ones as well.

3. I hate rationalizing. It takes the sharp bite of emotions away and how-much-so-ever you nibble, you feel emotionally hungry.

4. Haven't had a near-death experience, but before graduating I have my entire 5 years flashing before my eyes - in exquisite detail. The detail amazes me. Its like I knew this day would come - when my sins / mistakes would have to be accounted for.

All of 22

As someone born in 1986, most of my family / society values were put in place by the time I was 10. (While these values will always be in a state of theoretical flux,) the concrete had set before waves of multi-cultural learnings lapped the Indian shores.

As a result on a host of issues, I find my innate values and new age wisdom to be clashing with one another. Do I believe in the virtues of liberal, rational and (seemingly) Utopian rule set that may fail in the future? Or do I persist with (possibly?) archaic, conservative values that will keep me safe in the past?

A boy has his first quarter-life crisis!